I interviewed David DuByne who discussed Risks and Opportunities Facing the Global Supply Chain. David discussing the Grand Solar Minimum, Global Cooling, Smart Contracts for Global Food Shipping, Blockchain and Cryptocurrency.
Quote: "The weather is going to get so incredibly ferocious by the end of 2018, you'll absolutely be looking for other explanations than CO2 because it is going to be so fast and so ferocious. It is literally going to be a societal reset button for the way that we do global agriculture."
Well, today we're speaking with David Dubyne who is the creator of Adapt 2030, the YouTube channel. We are going to be discussing risks and opportunities facing the global supply chain. This topic today will cover issues such as global cooling, agriculture for the future, and cryptocurrency as a payment medium in something called the Grand Solar Minimum. So, David, my first question is what are smart contracts and how are they related to food supply chains?
Dustin, thanks for bringing me on so we can talk about what I consider one of the most important issues, if not the most important issue, of our time, moving forward. We're going into a time where we're going to blend two different technologies. One is the old of what's considered grain deliveries, shipping and logistics, into the blockchain here.
If you haven't heard of what a smart contract is, it's basically computer code that's built into the blockchain in the cryptocurrency network or the nodes itself. And then these nodes execute the code, updates into the public ledger. When I say public ledger, it's a transparent ledger that everybody can see. And that's the best thing about it. It prevents fraud. It prevents counterfeiting.
It's basically like this. A smart contract is maybe a misnomer. It's more as if a trigger of first this and then that. It's something that's triggered on fields that are filled in where you determine between the two parties what will happen first, and then the second thing will happen, and then the next thing will happen because of that. So let's say money is put into the contract. You could use a cryptocurrency of your choice. You could use Bitcoin, Ethereum, and there are so many others.
And the next field executes -- the grain is loaded onto the ship in the amount of tonnage. And then that triggers the next thing. And the whole way along, instead of using paper documentation like we do today in shipping, we can just upload that to the blockchain. Again, that alleviates any types of the counterfeiting that can go on or a dispute in ownership or what type of grains it is.
If you have 50,000 tons of grain coming from the Kansas wheat harvest, it verifies ownership, it verifies what that grain is, it verifies the phyto-sanitary, it verifies the protein content, the moisture content. And then that's loaded into the blockchain, literally. A lot of people like to use it for keeping money in escrow or buying something, but it has so many utilization points moving forward.
Why do we need smart contracts?
When you think about it, it's more of a hassle-free way to trace logistics. And going back to some contamination issues, which we've seen again and again, it's about the origin of specified product A, or good A, and then the journey through from where it originates, when it leaves port, all the way through the journey until it's cleared on the other side.
What we're having today, specifically — and you know as well as I do — are so many shenanigans going on. When break bulk cargo arrives, the ship pulls up to country whatever-it-is, and then they say, "I'm sorry. We don't want your shipment any longer. Please take it back." And we have this denial at the port so many times until then you have to bargain the price. Even though you think it's rock, written in stone with the letter of credit, you know how it works.
With smart contracts moving forward, and when food gets incredibly expensive compared to what it is today, these types of shenanigans will stop because in those fields that you enter, you could also program one of those [inaudible 00:03:46] for the shipment executes the buyer to pay the seller, even though there's no delivery of a physical substance. That can be written in there.
If you're sending 60,000 tons of grain over to Asia and they say, "We don't want it," at the port, if it's written in the smart contract that if you deny that shipment and the moisture content is correct, the type of wheat is correct, the date on the yield from which year is correct — everything — the tonnage is correct...and if you deny that then that will execute, and you'll pay me, the seller, and you will not get your wheat, and then I can just start making phone calls to find another buyer on site in the same country. This is going to prevent a lot of fraud moving forward, I do believe. That's why we really need to start using it.
On your YouTube channel, you talk about that there's going to be higher food prices and global cooling with the grand solar minimum. What evidence is there to support your views on these risks to the food supply chain?
For those of you listening, my YouTube channel is Adapt 2030. It is all about talking about cycles in our sun that reoccur on 400-year pattern cycles. What we see in the 11-year solar cycle, which we're coming into a solar minimum, just on an 11-year cycle, well, those occur in longer time frames as well on the 400-year cycle. And tracing back through history, you can see what happens every 400 years. But then you need to back it up with the science, of course, because written accounts and what the monks had written down in texts of the time and lithographs and painting and accounts, that's one thing to verify what went on in the societies of that time — to the grain production, the economy effects, and also the population migration, which are always the same three things that you see again and again every grand solar minimum.
But now we come in, and we start to look at the astrophysicists, and we have great satellite data. Everything was warming until about five years ago, and it was just turned over the top, and it started to decline year upon year. There's later ice in the Great Lakes. There's later ice in, specifically, Iowa Great Lakes had this — the most ice for the longest ever recorded since the mid-1800s. And we have these severe winters coming now. There's more snow pack. It's still snowing over in Italy at the moment. It's snowing in Spain; it’s snowing in France. We have more snow on the way in the United States over this next week until May 16, May 17. It has definitely turned into something different.
The science is very clear what's happening with the sun's output. If you start to take a look at the magnetic effects on our Earth, we have to lockstep with the sun's decreases in a 400-year state, our Earth is all going to match this. Our magnetosphere is weakening now, and you can start to see the effects of the jet streams moving around all over the planet in areas they don't normally go. This is why we're seeing extreme record heat and extreme record cold.
This year in Europe, they broke tens of thousands of cold records going back as far as they went back into the 1800s because of the polar vortex, European super-freeze 1.0 and 2.0. This is a perfect example.
Morocco all-time record snows, Algeria all-time record snows. And not only that, cosmic rays are increasing, which have effects on cloud patterns, and we just see more moisture pouring down across the planet. If you've been paying attention at even one iota of the news of what's going on, these natural disasters and mega-floods are dominating our headlines as well as volcanic eruptions. Those are also causation to magma, silica-rich magma chambers excited by cosmic ray density increases.
Science is there. History is there. We're at the doorstep of another... It's going to be about a 12 to 14-year pattern where the temperatures are going to drop. There's going to be a lot of effects for agriculture production. But then around 2035, we'll return pretty much to somewhere where we are about today. That's why I bring it to everybody's attention. It affects agriculture, and we need to eat every day. And as you go through the history, the fingerprint of this event that comes on 400-year periodicity, or 400-year cycles, is loss of global grain production. And even regional back then. It's taken down so many empires.
Look at history. Chinese dynasties, they've never survived longer than 400 years. Check that as a fact. Try to debunk this. No Chinese emperor has ever lasted more than 400 years because these cycles come back, and they reduce the food production. They reduce the water. Some areas go into drought. There's flooding.
The Mayan empire was taken down. Incan empires were taken down. The collapse of the Romans ended. Kofun dynasty in Japan. Everywhere you look, the kings and queen, the wars of Europe coincide with these events on the 400-year cycle of our sun going into a low activity state called a grand solar minimum. It's not coming. It is here; it's intensifying. And I'm making a mark right here. The weather is going to get so incredibly ferocious by the end of 2018, you'll absolutely be looking for other explanations than CO2 because it is going to be so fast and so ferocious. It is literally going to be a societal reset button for the way that we do global agriculture. And that's why I really like to bring this information. And then also combine it with the tech. Because if food gets really expensive, it's going to the most valuable commodity on our planet. There's going to be more fraud involved with it.
Back in the Maunder minimum, those grain shipments were always accompanied by soldiers because people tried to raid the grain shipments. This is why I'm saying history is just going to repeat on itself. But if you know what the history was, we know what it's going to do, and then we can come up with solutions to try to mitigate, what solutions to try to solve. We're on a global network that's all connected. If everybody has a solution, and if we use all these solutions collectively, I really believe our tech is going to bring us through what would have normally been a very tumultuous time, but it will be less severe because of the tech solutions we have at our fingertips globally. I'll leave it there, Dustin. Thank you.
Thanks, David. Could you provide a brief background of yourself and introduce your YouTube channel and any other sources you recommend for learning more about the opportunities and learning more about these technologies and the other trends?
The first thing I do want to say is there are opportunities everywhere. I firmly believe that this is the greatest opportunity in human history, bar none. In Chinese crisis means opportunity in the danger. We're going into a danger phase, but there is going to be so much opportunity — exponentially more than has ever been available to humankind right now. You just have to look for it. Where's your niche? What problem can you solve?
For example, we'll talk about China just for a second. AC Chain, they're already starting to commoditize and use tokens for commodity lots of tea, corn, rice, Puer Tea and different types of alcohol. And what they're doing is they're taking out a token for a lot against this particular...let's say it's Puer Tea. Well, there's only a certain amount of tonnage of it. So they issue a token against this product, agriculturally, and then when it's in the warehouse, you have the token. You're guaranteed right in ownership to that.
I also believe moving out into 2020 or possibly 2021, we're going to be doing that with each individual harvest. There will be an ICO for each individual harvest that guarantees ownership, and it's transparent on the blockchain. Maybe it's 2020 Kansas red winter wheat harvest, and then you'll have to do the ICO to have that token. You'll be able to take your portion of that. Take a look around inside the blockchain space to see what's going on.
UPS, they're trying to do the trillion-dollar shipping block space. Let's take a look at the Port of Rotterdam also coming into starting to use specifically blockchain. And that's one of the world's busiest ports. And we see it again and again. How about the Ethereum Alliance? That's another one. That's all the Fortune 500 companies that are creating blockchain technology to be able to settle between themselves. And this is where it gets scary because a lot of those are food producers, and shipping. So if you're just going to look for cryptocurrency and then just daily news, you can look at CoinDesk or ETHNews.
As we move forward for the grand solar minimum, you've got to realize that as the weather change comes, the adoption of cryptocurrency is going to move forward in sort of a DNA-strand moving up. So the amount of weather and crop losses is going to match pretty much the global adoption and usage of cryptocurrency. Now if you're going to look for different websites that cover grand solar minimum changes, you can look at IceAgeNow.info. That's Robert Felix's site. He wrote Not by Fire but by Ice. Carlos Ramirez, he follows the cosmic rays. You can look at Henrik Svensmark. He wrote the book and produced the movie The Cloud Mystery, also talking about cosmic rays and how these effect cloud patterns and how this is now starting to affect agriculture.
There are so many sources out there that you can actually dig into. My first suggestion is Grand Solar Minimum. There's a lot of channels copying the same names now because they're jumping on the bandwagon because they see it's hot, and there's a lot of views coming at it. Notice there's a whole bunch of new players that have just jumped into the space in the last three or four months on this topic. But what you really want to do is go back and see who has been in here for four or five years putting out the same commentary.
Suspicious Observers, absolutely a must-watch on YouTube. They cover everything science-wise going through in a very easy to digest format. The Watchers. That's just a daily news feed. They also have all the daily news feeds coming out about the changes in global weather. Agweb, that's a fun, easy one to use when you're looking at the crop planting percentages. And this year, the wheat, for example, is 3% planted, and it should be 30% planted by now. There's just so many anomalies going on in global agriculture.
David Taylor down in Australia, he runs the East Coast Weather, and he's predicting and also uses sun cycles to put predictions out for Australian weather. He's saying they're about the enter the all-time cold winter ever this year or next. Piers Corbyn, he's an astrophysicist as well that follows climatic changes based on the output of the sun electromagnetically onto the Earth. It does keep going on. And my very favorite who brought me into this space — John Casey, former NASA advisor. He wrote the book Dark Winter and Upheaval. This person is probably the number one go-to source first — John Casey. And this is a great handful to get you started.
If you really do run down all the links I just told you, you will absolutely be armed with the information, understand what's going on with the weather changes, understand how cryptocurrency is moving forward, and then you can see how the two are going to blend together so succinctly, specifically for logistics and shipping.
Thanks again, David. If there is an opportunity in the future to talk, that would be great to get some updates on how to take advantage of the opportunities with cryptocurrency in the supply chain.
Thanks for having me. And if anybody does want to send me a personal email, you can reach out at Adapt2030@oilseedcrops.org. That's the website I run. I talk about different changes and using plantation management for different biofuels that provide food first, fuel second. OilSeedCrops.org. Thanks, Dustin. I appreciate your time, and I appreciate everybody out there listening. I hope you got something out of our conversation.
About David DuByne
Creator of Adapt 2030 YouTube Channel